Fire SlimesTier 2
at MRC Store Championship!
decks
2
(8.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-4-1
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.7%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1398
· median 1398
· range 1368–1427
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1211
Q3 1402
1558
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 33.9% | -12.0 |
| Wind Allies | 16.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.0% | -5.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 12.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.8% | +11.3 |
| Slimes | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.8% | +10.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
